A second opinion on the numbers everyone quotes.
Our probability for elections, games and world events, graded in the open.
Sports record this season
9of 15
Our pick won 9 of the 15 games we called this season, misses included. Elections and world events are graded as they're decided. Every pick ›
We gather the data, play each race, game and question out 40,000 times, and publish how often it happens. Method ›
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