A second opinion on the numbers everyone quotes.
Our probability for elections, games and world events, graded in the open. Plus the options market's odds for stocks.
Sports record this season
119of 178
Our pick won 119 of the 178 games we called this season, misses included. Elections and world events are graded as they're decided. Every pick ›
We gather the data, play each race, game and question out 40,000 times, and publish how often it happens. How it works ›
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