Will the Knicks beat the 76ers?

Knicks win chance

In short

• Our ratings favor the Knicks by 1.0 points, home court included
• Injuries tilt it toward the Knicks by 1.1 points

Every step from a coin flip to our number, in the order our model adds them.

1. An even game50%Every game starts as a coin flip.
2. Home court−1139%Playing at home is worth about 3.9 points to the 76ers.
3. Team strength+645%How the two teams compare in our ratings.
4. The market−342%What the betting market's price adds.
5. Injuries+244%Who is out, and what that is worth.
6. Rest+448%Rest days and back-to-backs.
7. See how far every step moved our number.See every step
8. Our numberKnicks 54%

Each step is that piece's share of the model, so the steps add up to the number we published.

The range

In 9 of 10 simulations, the result lands between Knicks by 24 and 76ers by 21.

Switch a player off and we rerun the game without him.